{"id":51389,"date":"2026-07-25T10:50:12","date_gmt":"2026-07-25T10:50:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/?p=51389"},"modified":"2026-07-25T10:50:12","modified_gmt":"2026-07-25T10:50:12","slug":"gjermania-ne-ndryshim-ku-hapen-vendet-e-reja-te-punes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/?p=51389","title":{"rendered":"Gjermania n\u00eb ndryshim: ku hapen vendet e reja t\u00eb pun\u00ebs?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Gjermania drejt nj\u00eb faze t\u00eb re<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thuajse \u00e7do jav\u00eb ka lajme p\u00ebr shkurtime vendesh pune n\u00eb koncernet e m\u00ebdha gjermane. Logjikisht duhet t\u00eb shikonim nj\u00eb val\u00eb papun\u00ebsie, po ajo nuk v\u00ebrehet. N\u00eb fakt, tabloja e plot\u00eb duket ndryshe. Ka disa forca q\u00eb vazhdojn\u00eb ta mbajn\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb gjermane n\u00eb k\u00ebmb\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

E para \u00ebsht\u00eb baza fiskale solide<\/strong>: me nj\u00eb borxh publik prej rreth 63 p\u00ebr qind t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb, Gjermania q\u00ebndron shum\u00eb<\/a> posht\u00eb mesatares s\u00eb Eurozon\u00ebs (88%) apo Franc\u00ebs e Italis\u00eb, ku borxhi kalon 100%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00eb dyti, Gjermania ka nj\u00eb fuqi pun\u00ebtore<\/strong> shum\u00eb t\u00eb kualifikuar dhe nj\u00eb rrjet universitetesh<\/strong> t\u00eb lidhur ngusht\u00eb me ekonomin\u00eb; edhe produktiviteti p\u00ebr or\u00eb pune<\/strong> mbetet nd\u00ebr m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00ebt n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb \u2014 mesatarja e eurozon\u00ebs q\u00ebndron rreth 11 p\u00ebr qind m\u00eb posht\u00eb se Gjermania, sipas Institutit ekonomik IW K\u00f6ln (2024).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pastaj vijn\u00eb investimet, q\u00eb pas kat\u00ebr vjet\u00ebsh r\u00ebnieje po forcohen s\u00ebrish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por m\u00eb interesantja \u00ebsht\u00eb ajo q\u00eb po ndodh pa buj\u00eb brenda tregut t\u00eb pun\u00ebs<\/strong>. N\u00eb nj\u00eb vit t\u00eb vet\u00ebm, industria humbi 185.000 vende pune \u2014 por: thuajse po aq vende t\u00eb reja, rreth 181.000, u hap\u00ebn n\u00eb sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsi, n\u00eb arsim e administrat\u00eb, llogariti Instituti HRI. Gjermania po kthehet ngadal\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb shoq\u00ebri q\u00eb rron m\u00eb shum\u00eb nga sh\u00ebrbimet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Edhe pse ekonomia po ristrukturohet,  pun\u00ebsimi mbetet pothuajse i q\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm<\/a> : 45.6 milion\u00eb t\u00eb pun\u00ebsuar n\u00eb 2026 \u2014 vet\u00ebm 157.000 m\u00eb pak se nj\u00eb vit m\u00eb par\u00eb \u2014 45.62 milion\u00eb n\u00eb 2027, nd\u00ebrsa papun\u00ebsia rritet leht\u00eb n\u00eb 3.01 milion\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Nj\u00eb
Vende t\u00eb reja pune u hap\u00ebn n\u00eb sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsi, n\u00eb arsim e administrat\u00ebFotografi: AP<\/small><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Sigurisht, shkurtimet jan\u00eb t\u00eb dhimbshme. Dhe papun\u00ebsia e ul\u00ebt nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb vet\u00ebm shprehje force: ajo shpjegohet pjes\u00ebrisht me pensionimet dhe me m\u00eb pak konkurrent\u00eb nga BE p\u00ebr t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtat vende pune.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mb\u00ebshtetja e tregut p\u00ebrmes konsumit<\/strong> vazhdon, sepse jo t\u00eb gjith\u00eb preken nga krizat: n\u00ebpun\u00ebsit civil\u00eb dhe punonj\u00ebsit e tjer\u00eb t\u00eb shtetit konsumojn\u00eb thuajse nj\u00ebsoj, pasi t\u00eb ardhurat i kan\u00eb pavar\u00ebsisht nga konjunktura. Ndryshe \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb sektorin privat, ku shkat\u00ebrrohen ekzistenca dhe vende pune.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gjermania nuk ndodhet para kolapsit. Ajo thjesht po kalon n\u00eb nj\u00eb faz\u00eb t\u00eb re zhvillimi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stanjacioni \u00ebsht\u00eb real, por jo fundi i suksesit gjerman<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Problemet jan\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha \u2014 k\u00ebt\u00eb s’e mohon askush. Gjermania po p\u00ebrjeton stanjacionin ekonomik m\u00eb t\u00eb gjat\u00eb q\u00eb nga viti 1949. S’kemi t\u00eb b\u00ebjm\u00eb me nj\u00eb dob\u00ebsim t\u00eb \u00e7astit, por me disa shnd\u00ebrrime q\u00eb e godasin Gjermanin\u00eb nj\u00ebher\u00ebsh, si rrall\u00eb vende t\u00eb tjera, shkroi s\u00eb fundi ekonomisti i njohur Bert R\u00fcrup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nga nj\u00ebra an\u00eb, vala e madhe e globalizimit, ajo q\u00eb e pasuroi vendin, ka ndaluar. Furnizimi me energji po vihet mbi baza t\u00eb reja.  Konkurrent\u00ebt kinez\u00eb po forcohen. Popullsia po plaket dhe kjo e ngadal\u00ebson rritjen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nj\u00ebkoh\u00ebsisht, vala e gjat\u00eb e pun\u00ebsimit, e nxitur nga reformat e viteve 2000 t\u00eb kancelarit Gerhard Schr\u00f6der (Agjenda 2010), ka arritur n\u00eb fund. Shqet\u00ebsuese jan\u00eb edhe falimentimet, q\u00eb arrit\u00ebn nivelin m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00ebzet vjet \u2014 megjith\u00ebse edhe ato kan\u00eb nj\u00eb an\u00eb tjet\u00ebr: kur firma joprodhuese dalin nga tregu, lirohet kapital e fuqi pun\u00ebtore p\u00ebr sektor\u00eb m\u00eb produktiv\u00eb, sipas parimit t\u00eb \u201eshkat\u00ebrrimit krijues”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por m\u00eb e ndjeshme \u00ebsht\u00eb di\u00e7ka tjet\u00ebr: q\u00eb nga viti 2022, eksporti nuk e luan nj\u00ebsoj rolin e lokomotiv\u00ebs p\u00ebr ekonomin\u00eb gjermane. Gjermania eksporton m\u00eb pak drejt SHBA, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb barrierave doganore t\u00eb vendosura nga Uashingtoni; dhe nga ana tjet\u00ebr, Kina po i p\u00ebrmbyt tregjet me mallrat e veta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kur historia p\u00ebrdoret si paralajm\u00ebrim<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

N\u00eb media d\u00ebgjohen krahasime me Republik\u00ebn e Vajmarit (Weimar) \u2014 republik\u00ebn demokratike t\u00eb brisht\u00eb, q\u00eb i hapi rrug\u00ebn Hitlerit. Por ky krahasim, q\u00eb e b\u00ebjn\u00eb edhe disa media gjermane, flet m\u00eb shum\u00eb p\u00ebr nerva t\u00eb tendosura sesa p\u00ebr gjendjen e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb. Politologu i njohur Albrecht von Lucke kujtoi s\u00eb fundi n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kuad\u00ebr se asnj\u00eb brez gjerman\u00ebsh nuk ka jetuar ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb kaq mir\u00eb sa ky i sotmi. Gjermania ndodhet n\u00eb nj\u00eb nivel t\u00eb lart\u00eb dhe ankesat q\u00eb b\u00ebn jan\u00eb duke u nisur nga ky nivel. Pra problemi ndoshta \u00ebsht\u00eb diku tjet\u00ebr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Republika
Republika e Weimar-it, 1919-Protest\u00eb kund\u00ebr Traktatit t\u00eb Versaj\u00ebsFotografi: akg-images\/picture-alliance<\/small><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Njer\u00ebzit u m\u00ebsuan t\u00eb mendonin se rehatia e mir\u00ebqenia do t\u00eb vazhdonin pa fund, si thuajse n\u00eb tridhjet\u00eb vitet e fundit,  do t\u00eb vazhdonin edhe pa investuar sa duhej n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhmen; si at\u00ebher\u00eb kur Gjermania mb\u00ebshtetej te gazi i lir\u00eb rus dhe te eksportet e saj.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por koh\u00ebt ndryshojn\u00eb. Nd\u00ebrsa Republika e Vajmarit ishte nj\u00eb republik\u00eb sapodal\u00eb nga Lufta e Par\u00eb Bot\u00ebrore, me nj\u00eb shoq\u00ebri mjaft t\u00eb militarizuar, n\u00eb prag t\u00eb luft\u00ebs civile. Krahasuar me at\u00eb koh\u00eb, p\u00ebr\u00e7arjet e sotme jan\u00eb t\u00eb vogla.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kur pesimizmi nuk p\u00ebrputhet me realitetin<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Sondazhet e opinionit tregojn\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsisht nj\u00eb shoq\u00ebri pesimiste. Por <\/strong>sondazhet regjistrojn\u00eb gjendjen e \u00e7astit. Politologia dhe studiuesja e njohur e s\u00eb ardhmes, Florence Gaub shpjegoi n\u00eb media, se po t\u00eb shoh\u00ebsh m\u00eb thell\u00eb, n\u00eb studimet p\u00ebr shoq\u00ebrin\u00eb gjermane, del n\u00eb pah se kohezioni social ekziston: shtat\u00ebdhjet\u00eb p\u00ebr qind e gjerman\u00ebve kan\u00eb besim te bashkatdhetar\u00ebt e tyre \u2014 po aq sa kan\u00eb te nj\u00ebri-tjetri p.sh., finlandez\u00ebt, ata q\u00eb mbahen si populli m\u00eb i lumtur n\u00eb bot\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pse rritet pasiguria n\u00eb nj\u00eb shoq\u00ebri t\u00eb begat\u00eb<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Nga nj\u00ebra an\u00eb, sepse harrohet se konfliktet jan\u00eb pjes\u00eb e natyrshme e demokracis\u00eb, kujton Gaub; e kur ato shtohen shum\u00eb, e gjith\u00eb jeta na duket si kriz\u00eb pa fund.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nga ana tjet\u00ebr, n\u00eb shoq\u00ebrit\u00eb per\u00ebndimore \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrhapur nj\u00eb ndjenj\u00eb ngopjeje materiale, q\u00eb shtron pyetjen edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb thell\u00eb: \u00e7far\u00eb do t\u00eb thot\u00eb sot t\u00eb ec\u00ebsh p\u00ebrpara?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00ebrparimi, tradicionalisht, \u00ebsht\u00eb kuptuar kryesisht si p\u00ebrparim ekonomik \u2014 pra si shtim i pasuris\u00eb materiale. Nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e njer\u00ebzve, q\u00eb nuk e kan\u00eb arritur k\u00ebt\u00eb, vazhdojn\u00eb ta k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb; por nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb tjet\u00ebr, sidomos t\u00eb rinjt\u00eb, k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb di\u00e7ka krejt tjet\u00ebr: q\u00eb t\u00eb ken\u00eb koh\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb jetuar si d\u00ebshirojn\u00eb vet\u00eb, n\u00eb vend q\u00eb t\u00eb akumulojn\u00eb pasuri materiale.  P\u00ebr shum\u00eb njer\u00ebz, sidomos pas pandemis\u00eb s\u00eb Covid-19, koha personale po b\u00ebhet forma m\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme e pasuris\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mes reformave, investimeve dhe p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebsis\u00eb<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Shnd\u00ebrrimet e p\u00ebrmendura ende s’kan\u00eb nj\u00eb karakterizim t\u00eb prer\u00eb. Ajo q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e qart\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb se marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnia jon\u00eb me realitetin po ndryshon, edhe p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb inteligjenc\u00ebs artificiale. Por se ku do t\u00eb \u00e7oj\u00eb ky ndryshim ende nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb plot\u00ebsisht e qart\u00eb. Disa flasin p\u00ebr nj\u00eb boshll\u00ebk konceptual. Dhe pik\u00ebrisht ky boshll\u00ebk prodhon pasiguri \u2014 dhe i b\u00ebn disa njer\u00ebz q\u00eb t\u00eb votojn\u00eb p\u00ebr ekstremet (t\u00eb cilat premtojn\u00eb ta kthejn\u00eb pas gjith\u00e7ka, si ka qen\u00eb): p\u00ebr partin\u00eb ultra t\u00eb djatht\u00eb AfD, ose p\u00ebr partin\u00eb “E Majta”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Qeveria e kancelarit Friedrich Merz, nga ana e vet, s\u00eb fundi miratoi disa reforma t\u00eb nevojshme. Nj\u00eb nga ekonomist\u00ebt me ndikim n\u00eb Gjermani, Marcel Fratzscher i tha DW-s\u00eb se reformat n\u00eb sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsi, n\u00eb pensione e n\u00eb tatime ecin n\u00eb drejtimin e duhur \u2014 ndon\u00ebse nuk riparojn\u00eb asnj\u00eb nga ndarjet. Nj\u00eb shtys\u00eb m\u00eb e madhe jan\u00eb pes\u00ebqind miliard\u00eb eurot investime publike gjat\u00eb dymb\u00ebdhjet\u00eb vjet\u00ebve, p\u00ebr t\u00eb cilat ra dakord qeveria Merz dit\u00ebt e ardhjes n\u00eb pushtet; por \u00e7\u00ebshtja mbetet sa prej tyre do t\u00eb investohen \u2014 dhe sa shpejt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fratzscher b\u00ebn thirrje q\u00eb t\u00eb hiqet dor\u00eb nga zakoni i pasimit t\u00eb p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebsis\u00eb; kompanit\u00eb, deg\u00ebt e industris\u00eb, partit\u00eb duhet t\u00eb p\u00ebrballen sot me p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebsin\u00eb e tyre. Se mund t\u00eb b\u00ebhet edhe ndryshe e tregon “Made for Germany” \u2014 nj\u00eb nism\u00eb e koncerneve t\u00eb m\u00ebdha si Siemens dhe Deutsche Bank, q\u00eb premtuan dhe nis\u00ebn plot nj\u00eb vit m\u00eb par\u00eb t\u00eb investojn\u00eb deri n\u00eb 631 miliard\u00eb euro deri n\u00eb vitin 2028 n\u00eb Gjermani. N\u00eb fund, e ardhmja vendoset pik\u00ebrisht nga guximi, jo thjesht nga shifrat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Auron Dodi\/DW<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Gjermania drejt një faze të re Thuajse çdo javë ka lajme për shkurtime vendesh pune në koncernet e mëdha gjermane. Logjikisht duhet të shikonim një valë papunësie, po ajo nuk vërehet. Në fakt, tabloja e plotë duket ndryshe. Ka disa forca që vazhdojnë ta mbajnë ekonominë gjermane në këmbë. E para është baza fiskale solide: me një […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":51390,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[569],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51389","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bota"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51389","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=51389"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51389\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":51391,"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51389\/revisions\/51391"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/51390"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=51389"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=51389"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=51389"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}