{"id":50762,"date":"2026-06-02T10:19:47","date_gmt":"2026-06-02T10:19:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/?p=50762"},"modified":"2026-06-02T10:19:48","modified_gmt":"2026-06-02T10:19:48","slug":"paralajmerimi-pergatituni-per-rikthimin-e-menjehershem-te-el-nino","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/?p=50762","title":{"rendered":"Paralajm\u00ebrimi: P\u00ebrgatituni p\u00ebr rikthimin e menj\u00ebhersh\u00ebm t\u00eb El Ni\u00f1o"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

OKB-ja ka paralajm\u00ebruar se bota duhet t\u00eb p\u00ebrgatitet p\u00ebr rikthimin e menj\u00ebhersh\u00ebm t\u00eb El Ni\u00f1o-s dhe ekstremeve t\u00eb motit q\u00eb ai sjell.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Modeli i fuqish\u00ebm natyror i motit, i cili rrit temperaturat globale dhe p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebson disa reshje shiu, ka nj\u00eb shans 80% t\u00eb formohet para shtatorit dhe nj\u00eb shans 90% t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb deri n\u00eb n\u00ebntor, tha t\u00eb mart\u00ebn Organizata Bot\u00ebrore Meteorologjike (OBM).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ajo zbuloi se shumica e modeleve parashikuan rikthimin e fenomenit ciklik n\u00eb oqean dhe atmosfer\u00eb t\u00eb jet\u00eb “t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn i moderuar” n\u00eb forc\u00eb dhe ndoshta i fort\u00eb. Shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt kan\u00eb paralajm\u00ebruar m\u00eb par\u00eb se mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb i forti i k\u00ebtij shekulli.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sekretari i p\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm i OKB-s\u00eb, Ant\u00f3nio Guterres, tha se bota \u201cduhet ta trajtoj\u00eb at\u00eb si paralajm\u00ebrimin urgjent p\u00ebr klim\u00ebn q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cKushtet e El Ni\u00f1os do t\u00eb hedhin benzin\u00eb \u200b\u200bn\u00eb zjarrin e nj\u00eb bote q\u00eb po ngrohet\u201d, tha ai. \u201cNdikimet do t\u00eb godasin edhe m\u00eb fort, do t\u00eb p\u00ebrhapen edhe m\u00eb larg dhe do t\u00eb kalojn\u00eb kufijt\u00eb me nj\u00eb shpejt\u00ebsi shkat\u00ebrruese.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El Ni\u00f1o m\u00eb i fundit, i cili goditi n\u00eb vitet 2023-24, ishte nj\u00eb nga pes\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb fuqishmit e regjistruar ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb, dhe kontribuoi n\u00eb nj\u00eb vit p\u00ebrv\u00eblues t\u00eb nxeht\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2024 q\u00eb theu rekordet globale t\u00eb temperatur\u00ebs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

OMB tha se temperatura jasht\u00ebzakonisht t\u00eb larta parashikohen n\u00eb pothuajse t\u00eb gjitha pjes\u00ebt e planetit p\u00ebr tre muajt e ardhsh\u00ebm, dhe paralajm\u00ebroi p\u00ebr nj\u00eb probabilitet m\u00eb t\u00eb madh t\u00eb shirave ekstrem\u00eb dhe that\u00ebsir\u00ebs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Edhe pse \u00e7do ngjarje e El Ni\u00f1o \u00ebsht\u00eb unike, shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt zakonisht e shoq\u00ebrojn\u00eb at\u00eb me shira m\u00eb t\u00eb dendur n\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb Amerik\u00ebs s\u00eb Jugut, SHBA-s\u00eb jugore, Bririt t\u00eb Afrik\u00ebs dhe Azis\u00eb qendrore. Kushtet m\u00eb t\u00eb thata zakonisht godasin Amerik\u00ebn Qendrore, Amerik\u00ebn e Jugut dhe veriore, Karaibet, Australin\u00eb, Indonezin\u00eb dhe pjes\u00eb t\u00eb Azis\u00eb jugore.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uj\u00ebrat e ngrohta mund t\u00eb nxisin gjithashtu uraganet n\u00eb Oqeanin Paq\u00ebsor qendror dhe lindor, por pengojn\u00eb formimin e tyre n\u00eb pellgun e Atlantikut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zbulimi vjen nd\u00ebrsa Evropa Per\u00ebndimore po del nga nj\u00eb maj jasht\u00ebzakonisht i nxeht\u00eb, n\u00eb t\u00eb cilin rekordet e temperaturave p\u00ebr muajin u thyen n\u00eb Mbret\u00ebrin\u00eb e Bashkuar dhe Irland\u00eb. Jav\u00ebn e kaluar, WMO dhe Zyra Meteorologjike e Mbret\u00ebris\u00eb s\u00eb Bashkuar paralajm\u00ebruan se nj\u00eb vit rekord i nxeht\u00eb p\u00ebr globin ishte pothuajse i sigurt para fundit t\u00eb dekad\u00ebs, me kthimin e pritur t\u00eb El Ni\u00f1o q\u00eb ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb ta b\u00ebj\u00eb at\u00eb t\u00eb vij\u00eb q\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2027.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gareth Redmond-King, nga Nj\u00ebsia e Inteligjenc\u00ebs s\u00eb Energjis\u00eb dhe Klim\u00ebs (ECIU), nj\u00eb organizat\u00eb britanike, tha se gjetjet e fundit ishin \u201clajme t\u00eb k\u00ebqija\u201d p\u00ebr furnizimet me ushqim, pasi ato ishin tashm\u00eb n\u00ebn presion nga p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsimi i klim\u00ebs dhe kufizimi i fluksit t\u00eb plehrave nga lufta n\u00eb Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cK\u00ebrdia q\u00eb El Ni\u00f1o do t\u00eb shkaktoj\u00eb, pasi ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb sjell\u00eb nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr vit m\u00eb t\u00eb nxeht\u00eb, n\u00eb vitin 2027, do t\u00eb jet\u00eb shkat\u00ebrruese p\u00ebr shum\u00eb fermer\u00eb dhe nj\u00eb \u00e7\u00ebshtje jete a vdekjeje p\u00ebr shum\u00eb njer\u00ebz\u201d, tha ai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kushtet e El Ni\u00f1os ndodhin \u00e7do disa vjet dhe zgjasin rreth n\u00ebnt\u00eb deri n\u00eb 12 muaj.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gjat\u00eb viteve t\u00eb tilla, er\u00ebrat q\u00eb i shtyjn\u00eb uj\u00ebrat e ngrohta n\u00eb per\u00ebndim zbuten ose ndryshojn\u00eb drejtim, duke b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb mundur q\u00eb uj\u00ebrat sip\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsore n\u00eb at\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorit t\u00eb ngrohen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

OBM tha se temperaturat e sip\u00ebrfaqes s\u00eb detit n\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorit q\u00eb shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt i p\u00ebrdorin si referenc\u00eb po i afroheshin pragjeve t\u00eb El Ni\u00f1os n\u00eb fund t\u00eb prillit deri n\u00eb mesin e majit, t\u00eb nxitura nga kushte jasht\u00ebzakonisht t\u00eb ngrohta n\u00ebntok\u00ebsore. Ajo tha se p\u00ebrb\u00ebr\u00ebsi atmosferik i El Ni\u00f1os ishte gjithashtu n\u00eb p\u00ebrputhje me zhvillimin e tij.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ajo hodhi posht\u00eb termin “super El Ni\u00f1o”, t\u00eb cilin disa shkenc\u00ebtar\u00eb e kan\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur n\u00eb muajt e fundit n\u00eb pritje t\u00eb nj\u00eb ngjarjeje ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht t\u00eb fort\u00eb, sepse bie jasht\u00eb sistemit zyrtar t\u00eb klasifikimit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Guterres tha: \u201cE vetmja p\u00ebrgjigje efektive \u00ebsht\u00eb veprimi p\u00ebr klim\u00ebn i barabart\u00eb me kriz\u00ebn \u2013 dh\u00ebnia fund e var\u00ebsis\u00eb nga l\u00ebnd\u00ebt djeg\u00ebse fosile, p\u00ebrshpejtimi i kalimit n\u00eb burime t\u00eb rinovueshme, mbrojtja e m\u00eb t\u00eb prekshm\u00ebve dhe ofrimi i sistemeve t\u00eb paralajm\u00ebrimit t\u00eb hersh\u00ebm p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjith\u00eb.\u201d\/ Guardian.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

OKB-ja ka paralajmëruar se bota duhet të përgatitet për rikthimin e menjëhershëm të El Niño-s dhe ekstremeve të motit që ai sjell. Modeli i fuqishëm natyror i motit, i cili rrit temperaturat globale dhe përkeqëson disa reshje shiu, ka një shans 80% të formohet para shtatorit dhe një shans 90% të vazhdojë deri në nëntor, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":50763,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[569],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50762","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bota"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50762","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=50762"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50762\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":50764,"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50762\/revisions\/50764"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/50763"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=50762"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=50762"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/radiojehona.mk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=50762"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}